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Tesla Earnings: Options Predict 8.5% Stock Swing - Will it Beat the Average?

Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2025 2:50 pm
by Teslaguy
Tesla Earnings: Bracing for Impact or Overreacting to Volatility?

TheFly predicts an 8.5% share price swing after Tesla's upcoming earnings release, based on options activity. This prediction seems tame compared to the median 11.5% fluctuation seen over the past two years. Does this signify a maturing Tesla, a more predictable market, or are we underestimating the potential for a surprise?

Considering Tesla's history of exceeding or drastically missing expectations, is an 8.5% swing realistic? Are options traders playing it safe, or is the market truly anticipating a less dramatic outcome this time around? What factors could contribute to a larger or smaller than predicted price movement?

Goldman Sachs recently weighed in on Tesla ahead of earnings. How much influence do these pre-earnings analyst pronouncements have on market sentiment and the actual stock performance post-earnings?

With calls outpacing puts 8 to 7, are investors overly optimistic, or is this a reasonable reflection of Tesla's potential? Share your predictions and the rationale behind them. Let the discussion begin!